Based on current information, today’s missile test by North Korea could easily reach the US West Coast, and a number of major US cities. Read more >
David's Latest Posts
July 7, 2017 6:00 AM EDT
In a previous post, I estimated what North Korea could have learned from its May 14 Hwasong-12 missile test that is relevant to developing a reentry vehicle (RV) for a longer range missile.
I’ve updated the numbers in that post for the July 4 missile test (Table 1). In particular, I compare several measures of the heating experienced by the RV on the July 4 test to what would be experienced by the same RV on a 10,000 km-range missile on a standard trajectory (MET). Read more >
July 3, 2017 11:14 PM EDT
A missile of that range would need to fly on a very highly lofted trajectory to have such a long flight time.
Assuming a range of 950 km, then a flight time of 37 minutes would require it to reach a maximum altitude of more than 2,800 km (1700 miles).
So if the reports are correct, that same missile could reach a maximum range of roughly 6,700 km (4,160 miles) on a standard trajectory.
That range would not be enough to reach the lower 48 states or the large islands of Hawaii, but would allow it to reach all of Alaska.
There is not enough information yet to determine whether this launch could be done with a modified version of the Hwasong-12 missile that was launched on May 14.
May 21, 2017 12:10 PM EDT
A week after the test launch of an intermediate-range Hwasong-12 missile, North Korea today tested a medium-range missile. Based on press reports, this appears to be a Pukguksong-2 missile, which is the land-based version of the submarine-launched missile it is developing. This appears to be the second successful test of this version of the missile. Read more >
May 17, 2017 5:09 PM EDT